Elkhart Central
Boys - Girls
2018 - 2019 - 2020
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State Rank #46
New Haven Semi-State Rank #11
Elkhart Central Regional Rank #3
Elkhart Central Sectional Rank #3
Most Likely Finish 15th place at Semi-State
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Semi-State 94.2%
Advance to Regional 99.6%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.




Season Rating Ox Bow Early Bird Invite NIC Stomp Ox Bow 4-Way Penn Invitational Elkhart/St. Joe County Clash New Prairie Invitational Culver Academies Invitational NIC / NLC Elkhart Central Sectional Elkhart Central Regional New Haven Semi-State
Date 8/18 8/24 8/27 8/31 9/14 9/21 9/28 10/5 10/12 10/19 10/26
Team Rating 551 632 649 520 712 733 852 732 784 811 753 795
Team Adjusted Rating 632 492 520 532 580 567 565 598 655 595 616
State RankRunnerSeason Rating Ox Bow Early Bird Invite NIC Stomp Ox Bow 4-Way Penn Invitational Elkhart/St. Joe County Clash New Prairie Invitational Culver Academies Invitational NIC / NLC Elkhart Central Sectional Elkhart Central Regional New Haven Semi-State
173  Lauren Dibley 12 20:08 23:10 21:05 21:14 21:01 20:29 20:48 20:37 20:03 19:54
324  Irie Roll 11 20:44 20:38 20:31 20:22 21:50
474  Adley Keim 9 21:12 21:02 21:11 21:20 20:41 21:03 21:12 21:07 21:04 21:42 21:09 21:41
487  Brooke Richardson 10 21:16 20:50 21:02 20:37 20:49 21:10 20:47 21:22 21:27 21:48 21:39 21:36
557  Emma Hodges 10 21:30 20:46 21:01 21:01 21:04 21:15 21:30 21:41 21:52 21:59 21:56
Meleena Strukel 11 23:34 23:04 23:18 24:04 23:15 23:17 23:18 23:31 23:50 23:53 23:41 23:56
Alondra Garcia 12 23:41 24:05 24:06 23:19 23:36 23:19 24:35 23:45 24:07 23:21 23:23 23:46
Antonia Hiland 12 23:49 23:13 22:53 24:21 24:25 23:44 23:43
Anaka Vargas 11 24:07 25:48 24:45 23:46 24:11 24:13 23:42 23:45 24:03 24:21
Carlie Webber 10 24:19 25:32 24:18 23:39 24:03 26:23 23:51 24:24
Kali Hartman 12 24:36 24:07 24:29 24:43 24:34 23:56 24:30 24:49 25:57
Johntella Higgins 12 25:13 24:00 25:39 24:43 26:23
Lizie Quintano 9 25:16 26:24 27:19 25:58 24:45 24:17 25:04




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 0.0%
Semi-State 94.2% 15.9 413 0.9 3.3 9.0 13.7 16.8 15.0 11.3 10.9 8.9 4.6
Regionals 99.6% 3.7 133 51.4 32.4 10.5 4.2 1.3
Sectionals 100% 2.2 102 82.0 13.2 3.6 1.0 0.3 0.1 0.1



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Lauren Dibley 0.7% 106.0 0.7% 0.7%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Lauren Dibley 100% 42.8 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.5 0.4 0.7 0.8 100.0% 100.0%
Adley Keim 96.6% 106.7 41.4% 86.3%
Brooke Richardson 96.2% 108.6 33.6% 81.7%
Emma Hodges 94.7% 119.0 7.8% 52.2%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Lauren Dibley 100% 6.8 0.1 0.1 0.8 4.4 17.5 17.2 12.1 10.1 9.4 8.0 6.2 5.4 3.6 1.9 1.7 0.9 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.1 100.0% 100.0%
Adley Keim 100.0% 23.4 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.5 0.7 1.1 2.0 2.5 5.0 6.3 6.3 7.8 7.4 7.7 6.9 6.5 87.5% 100.0%
Brooke Richardson 100% 24.8 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.7 1.4 2.0 3.2 3.8 5.3 5.1 7.7 7.2 7.0 6.9 100.0% 100.0%
Emma Hodges 99.9% 31.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.9 0.8 1.8 1.8 3.5 4.1 4.2 75.0% 99.7%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Lauren Dibley 5.0 0.1 0.1 4.9 24.2 21.8 17.9 13.0 9.0 6.2 2.4 0.5 0.2 0.1
Adley Keim 14.1 0.1 0.2 0.6 2.7 6.6 11.1 13.8 14.0 13.6 11.8 8.6 6.2 4.3 2.5 1.5 1.1 0.8 0.3 0.3
Brooke Richardson 14.8 0.3 0.4 2.2 4.5 8.5 10.5 13.3 13.1 13.0 10.5 7.8 5.9 4.2 2.5 1.9 0.5 0.4 0.6
Emma Hodges 18.3 0.1 0.7 1.5 2.3 4.7 6.6 9.2 9.8 12.2 11.6 11.7 8.3 6.8 4.3 3.6 2.3